Skip to main content

Table 1 Posterior probabilities with 95% confidence interval of each of the three competing scenarios used for inferring the source population of introduced grass carp, and the type I and II errors for each competing scenario

From: Population structure, demographic history and local adaptation of the grass carp

Scenario

Posterior probability (95% CI)

Type I error

Type II error

Malaysia

 Scenario 1

0.806 (0.782, 0.829)

0.021

0.009

 Scenario 2

0.014 (0.000, 0.110)

0.002

0.019

 Scenario 3

0.180 (0.081, 0.279)

0.007

0.022

India and Nepal

 Scenario 1

0.927 (0.913, 0.941)

0.018

0.012

 Scenario 2

0.068 (0.054, 0.082)

0.006

0.024

 Scenario 3

0.005 (0.004, 0.007)

0.008

0.014

  1. The best competing scenario is indicated in bold. Scenario 1, the introduced population originated from an admixture population of both the Yangtze and the Pearl River Systems; Scenario 2, the introduced population originated directly from the Yangtze River System; and Scenario 3, the introduced population originated directly from the Pearl River System