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Table 1 Estimators of phylogeographic analysis on E-14 strains under different molecular clock and coalescent model combinations

From: Evolutionary phylogeography and transmission pattern of echovirus 14: an exploration of spatiotemporal dynamics based on the 26-year acute flaccid paralysis surveillance in Shandong, China

Parameter

Estimator of the parameter (95% HPD interval) under different molecular combinations

SC & Const

SC & Exp

SC & BSP

UCLD & Log

UCLD & Exp

UCLD & BSP

Harmonic Mean

−18271.839

−18253.871

−20602.113

−18187.626

−18169.821

−20529.023

AICM

36747.72

36686.69

41416.886

36765.743

36742.314

41489.35

t MRCA (global E-14)

88.06 (78.14,98.49)

87.74 (77.86,97.49)

86.29 (77.15,96.05)

85.48 (70.22,103.77)

85.31 (69.64,103.79)

83.02 (68.20,100.25)

t MRCA (Lineage 1)

43.44 (39.22,47.96)

43.52 (39.36,48.18)

42.64 (38.81,46.97)

41.26 (34.69,48.50)

41.46 (34.45,48.79)

40.80 (34.92,47.36)

t MRCA (Lineage 2)

46.87 (41.54,52.31)

47.04 (41.77,52.62)

45.92 (41.07,51.20)

46.32 (37.09,56.15)

46.15 (37.33,55.94)

44.41 (36.14,53.59)

t MRCA (group 1)

32.31 (28.95,35.75)

32.36 (29.09,35.90)

31.73 (28.66,34.97)

31.50 (26.51,37.04)

31.46 (26.35,36.96)

31.38 (26.61,36.66)

t MRCA (group 2)

29.85 (26.57,33.27)

29.89 (26.70,33.38)

29.45 (26.36,32.67)

27.41 (22.47,32.85)

27.40 (22.49,32.77)

28.09 (23.16,33.32)

t MRCA (group 3)

29.63 (27.53,31.72)

29.70 (27.70,31.97)

29.53 (27.58,31.60)

28.45 (25.42,31.64)

28.46 (25.26,31.61)

28.85 (25.95,32.21)

t MRCA (group 4)

46.43 (40.44,52.43)

46.62 (40.92,52.85)

45.63 (40.19,51.24)

45.47 (36.29,56.13)

45.30 (35.46,55.05)

43.72 (35.19,53.39)

t MRCA (group 5)

38.91 (33.45,44.89)

39.05 (33.61,44.99)

38.33 (33.06,43.68)

34.62 (27.34,43.15)

34.43 (27.34,42.15)

33.55 (27.35,41.16)

Mean evolutionary rate

8.44 (7.42,9.48)

8.38 (7.39,9.46)

8.57 (7.61,9.58)

9.14 (7.65,10.70)

9.17 (7.67,10.80)

9.30 (7.80,10.80)

  1. The best fitting model combination was highlighted in boldface. The molecular clock models used were the strict molecular clock (SC) and the uncorrelated log-normal distributed (UCLD) relaxed molecular clock. Coalescent models used were the parametric Constant model (Const), Exponential model (Exp), Logistic model (Log) and Bayesian skyline plot model (BSP). 95% HPD 95% highest posterior density, t MRCA the most recent common ancestor, AICM the Akaike information content model selection method